This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 03 April 2020

By: Taro Chellaram /Wells Fargo Economics & Financial Report/Apr 04, 2020

This Week's State Of The Economy - What Is Ahead? - 03 April 2020

U.S - An Unprecedented Time

  • Data this week began to show just how large the coronavirus-related impact on the economy will be. Efforts to contain the virus are leading to millions of job losses and it’s likely only a matter of time before a majority of economic data reveal unprecedented declines.
  • Employers reported payrolls declined by 701 K workers in March. This decline comes before the worst of the coronavirus-related impacts on the once-strong labor market and only hints at what’s in store. Job losses will be in the millions in April.
  • President Trump tweeted favorable comments of Russia and Saudi Arabia’s relationship, but it’s unclear if coordinated production cuts will occur. Oil prices remain exceptionally low.

 

Global - Sentiment Indicators Still Point Down in Many Countries

  • This week, we received a bit more detail on the economic impact many international economies face following the outbreak of the coronavirus. Initial market sentiment indicators still pointed down in most countries with the Market manufacturing and services PMIs revised lower in the Euro zone and United Kingdom.
  • China’s PMIs returned to expansion in March, with the manufacturing PMI climbing 16.3 points. Meanwhile the non-manufacturing index also rose, and the index for small firms surged the most since 2017.



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This week\'s economic data kicked of with a bang. The ISM Services Index jumped more than eight points to 63.7, signaling the fastest pace of expansion in the index\'s 24-year history.

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Economic data came in largely as expected this week and suggest continued economic recovery.

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